Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782802ab2c7f728bb933f7fbf5b660b8a9cca2cf51658a33c92d727b483c20be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 7,028$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 79c | 2,062$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.31 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 21c | 1,250$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,164$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 26c | 295.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 72c | 278.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 231.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 143.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 28c | 122.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Over | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…30febacked Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Over | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 28c | 39.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…b441backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 71c | 31.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…b3f8backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 74c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.