Premier League · resolved market
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa109590f1d0047038af5b6fefc98431dd0cb16fef436bc645c7030ccd5f17fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 21,605$14,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,541.89 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 28c | 10,699$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.72 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 17c | 6,575$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.25 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 34c | 4,130$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 2,727$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.37 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…0aedbacked Under | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 47c | 650$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 59c | 639.87$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.13 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 635.18$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.32 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 40c | 200.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 37c | 182$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 171.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Over | 60c | 166.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Under | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…4e11backed Over | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 61c | 65.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 67c | 55.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 60c | 53.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 61c | 53.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 35c | 44.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e61ebacked Over | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 44c | 31.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 29.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…13fbbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…69aabacked Under | 72c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5this page
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.