Premier League · resolved market
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0fc44ec65c35ee8ea55f0712c97d7444f8fa3b310345a117733a00e8440c19c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 10,307$7,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 38c | 3,679$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.18 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 4c | 2,028$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 63c | 1,365$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.23 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 12c | 919.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 39c | 375$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 63c | 229.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…4683backed Under | 64c | 78.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 53.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…7b19backed Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5this page
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.