Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53dd2b4122f7d17eaa4f2694df4adead7919c99d69ae4692926f7aac996cfb54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bournemouthof Chelsea, Bournemouth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chelsea | 7c | 2,106$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Bournemouth | 78c | 1,128$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chelsea | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chelsea | 24c | 887$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked Chelsea | 24c | 878.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Chelsea | 20c | 790.63$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bournemouth | 75c | 662.75$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Chelsea | 25c | 551$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Chelsea | 12c | 445.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Chelsea | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bournemouth | 76c | 325.88$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Chelsea | 24c | 225.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Chelsea | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Chelsea | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Chelsea | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…f2debacked Chelsea | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Chelsea | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chelsea | 23c | 155.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Chelsea | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Chelsea | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…b369backed Bournemouth | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Chelsea | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Chelsea | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Chelsea | 25c | 76.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…df33backed Bournemouth | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Chelsea | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Chelsea | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75df…3fd2backed Chelsea | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bournemouth | 75c | 40.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bournemouth | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Bournemouth | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Bournemouth | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Bournemouth | 79c | 25.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bournemouth | 74c | 24.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Bournemouth | 80c | 12.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.53 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)this page
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.