Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd30db2fdb44fc4e1b35ac0ed36c691e57868909e46390b15f47ee7d1a806d2b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 36,389$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.13 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Under | 79c | 29,999$23,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd345…ce67backed Over | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…51b4backed Under | 78c | 1,900$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 19c | 1,749$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.37 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…5501backed Under | 78c | 1,600$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 30c | 1,320$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…eeb4backed Over | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 39c | 528.23$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 494.42$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.42 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 37c | 421.01$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 72c | 401$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 290.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 290.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 227.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 55c | 197.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…6d9dbacked Over | 28c | 150.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 60c | 127$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 66c | 108.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked Under | 80c | 90.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…dcffbacked Over | 18c | 76.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 78c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 80c | 52.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Under | 61c | 50.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 59c | 43.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 62c | 41.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 38c | 34.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 26.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 25.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Under | 63c | 23.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f83…94cabacked Under | 67c | 20.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 52c | 19.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 77c | 13.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.