Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a152abab2a3257a6b47c8bdf4ed82a0285727d9605bdc921c7a546db94eda1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 11,116$6,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,689.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 7,902$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.59 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…3805backed Yes | 50c | 6,721$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6025…32fcbacked No | 50c | 6,289$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Yes | 50c | 4,986$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea23…a468backed No | 50c | 4,614$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…394abacked Yes | 50c | 4,172$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed No | 50c | 4,107$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 50c | 3,416$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.08 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 51c | 1,632$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.32 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed No | 50c | 879$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 837$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.23 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 684$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 46c | 426$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 49c | 317.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Yes | 37c | 229.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.73 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…f58abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 50c | 41.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…9a13backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…bfbbbacked No | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 50c | 30.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 28.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 51c | 26.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…8b2dbacked Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.