Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e74c7efb887268b645c86521721183b7a90975c391e88f3a0f3007b817c0be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 710.64$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 31c | 522.75$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 64c | 430.14$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 19c | 209.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 186.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 176.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…5696backed Over | 54c | 160.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 154.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…92f7backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…9054backed Over | 70c | 123.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 69c | 116.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 69c | 97.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…8480backed Under | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 95.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…bec4backed Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…1682backed Under | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…5079backed Over | 69c | 62.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 32c | 61.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 66c | 60.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 32c | 52.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.