TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over21c8,943$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89427955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c8,483$6,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.066,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under79c5,304$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.932,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under76c2,110$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.522070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c2,057$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.284,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over21c912$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.791,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under79c777.24$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over20c777$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.425836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under79c555$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5521548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over19c550.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.623926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bda…6c8abacked Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ee…f7a7backed Under78c417.23$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.792650%13 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over24c396$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0429343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under64c364.23$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.125865.5%38 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Over21c342.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89bf…2c66backed Over13c300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e6…fd61backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e2…bd11backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under80c238$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.62556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Over23c213.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.412835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53e…a45cbacked Over19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+53.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95d0…9bf3backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under80c166$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.24447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under80c163$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.61952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under78c153.83$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8410850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over19c151.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8137342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under80c123$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.67642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under80c122$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Over33c100.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.596440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Under80c95$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under80c92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.44240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under80c91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22475%18 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under80c86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over20c84.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7224158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under80c83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.62075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under78c82.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.227141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under80c82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under80c82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under80c78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.64355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under80c78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under80c77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under80c77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under80c73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under80c72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over34c69.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7612048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Under80c66$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked Over20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131729.4%5 W · 12 L-5.5wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-59.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Under80c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under80c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under80c57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Over20c57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over20c57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Over20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under78c51.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3142862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Under77c51.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.794358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked Over20c51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-62.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Under80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1018059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under80c49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under80c43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under80c43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.65650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d36…3948backed Under45c41.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Under80c41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-54.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7658…28bcbacked Under78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe34a…273ebacked Under80c38.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.621471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked Under80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.53348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under80c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.83751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Under70c32.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.862536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under77c30.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1127173.8%200 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under80c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Under51c27.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.662975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+97.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2510354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.64339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Under79c14.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.983762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.