NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf541654e5286f4842600cf800d705483cb998e1581c143cb53f461a4d0ebfc18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 54c | 38,761$20,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,851.44 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 11,528$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,225.23 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 54c | 8,758$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,726.11 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 6,872$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 6,403$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 6,295$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.46 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 4,045$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.37 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 46c | 2,608$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 55c | 2,008$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.4 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 1,738$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.88 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 1,580$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.27 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 1,087$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.98 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 714.09$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.61 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 652.58$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.92 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 545$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 536.72$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.83 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 60c | 422.29$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 329$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 47c | 220.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 52c | 196.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 53c | 190.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…77c6backed Under | 48c | 185$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 182$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 176.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 54c | 149.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 48c | 148.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 53c | 138.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 45c | 132.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 130.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 100.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 82.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 53c | 78.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 45c | 76.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Under | 48c | 61.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b66…008bbacked Under | 46c | 59.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 41c | 53.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…14bfbacked Under | 46c | 52.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…a315backed Under | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 59c | 43.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 41.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…94e4backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…f634backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Over | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…17d6backed Under | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 46c | 34.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Under | 46c | 33.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 47c | 32.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 46c | 30.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5this page
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.