TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Over54c38,761$20,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,851.441,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under46c11,528$5,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,225.232,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over54c8,758$4,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,726.1134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c6,872$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c6,403$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.52,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c6,295$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.463,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c4,045$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.375,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Under46c3,000$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under46c2,608$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.51,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over55c2,008$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.441553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over55c1,738$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.8884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under46c1,580$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.272,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over53c1,087$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.9887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55016657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c714.09$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.612,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c652.58$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.922,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c545$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c536.72$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.831,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under60c422.29$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4963745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c329$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.372,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c280$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.81,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under45c249.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4980744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Under47c220.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6214742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10814746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1069647.9%46 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under46c199.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10835739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over52c196.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0219754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over53c190.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7871…77c6backed Under48c185$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.851457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under46c182$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.282,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.42,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c176.1$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.212,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Over54c149.56$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7613938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under48c148.23$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0810270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over53c138.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1920456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under45c132.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c130.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.723,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c106$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0633150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under49c104$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.41,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under46c100.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.511,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under47c87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1123153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.112,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under45c82.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.952,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.27142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over53c78.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.561,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Over55c77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.355750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under45c76.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.11,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Over55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.257361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed Under48c61.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.891947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b66…008bbacked Under46c59.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013957.6%80 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9331…0951backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over41c53.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7349247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a51…14bfbacked Under46c52.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.231656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2733147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48e7…a315backed Under48c47.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under59c43.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.773,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c41.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.324,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b94…94e4backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.628852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…0adcbacked Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165052%26 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd7…f634backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.439756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf47…4d00backed Over53c39.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7764…17d6backed Under47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5220456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4415051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under46c34.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5230244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Under46c33.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.875850%29 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Under46c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.829047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under47c32.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3550648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed Under45c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.052347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Under46c30.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2222247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.223753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.