NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb773d394011f23f01d98cb79f8f3549b5f9d91dc21e61c1356c71eba4ad2ed41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 49c | 31,092$15,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,202.65 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 52c | 28,429$14,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,752.14 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 27,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 50c | 6,739$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.3 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 50c | 6,060$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 5,488$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.45 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…883dbacked Over | 51c | 5,195$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Over | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 49c | 2,150$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.5 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 1,895$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Under | 52c | 1,799$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 53c | 1,687$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.03 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,635$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 47c | 1,582$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.6 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 1,552$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.07 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 53c | 1,189$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.68 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 1,066$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.55 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 1,001$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.59 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 885.26$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 635$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…bbdbbacked Over | 48c | 483.92$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0ad7backed Over | 50c | 166.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…0819backed Over | 48c | 156.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 52c | 148.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a5…a0fdbacked Over | 48c | 107.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 50c | 91.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 49c | 82.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…d9f6backed Over | 50c | 49.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Under | 51c | 48.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…5d91backed Under | 51c | 46.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 31c | 40.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…bd8bbacked Over | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…e94cbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 50c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…982bbacked Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…b866backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5this page
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.