NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7430a2b86419992d7ade2dc82802ac2ad45f5bea2d51b8ca969b7ca51f04046d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Spurs, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs | 52c | 59,210$30,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,789.32 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Grizzlies | 48c | 55,876$26,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,055.43 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 19,805$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,298.59 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Spurs | 52c | 10,582$5,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,502.86 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 9,668$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,467.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 53c | 4,719$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 3,810$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Grizzlies | 56c | 3,735$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.87 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Spurs | 56c | 3,593$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,590$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.8 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 44c | 2,633$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 59c | 2,473$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.95 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,373$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.82 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,152$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.08 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…9d67backed Spurs | 53c | 2,113$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Spurs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,823$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.11 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,150$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.99 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,075$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,017$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,006$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.61 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Spurs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…6786backed Spurs | 53c | 987.06$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Spurs | 57c | 982.98$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.42 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies | 48c | 931$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.12 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Spurs | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 46c | 799.06$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Grizzlies | 49c | 610.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.08 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Spurs | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Grizzlies | 50c | 560.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Spurs | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…1d26backed Spurs | 53c | 422.17$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Grizzlies | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…1d29backed Spurs | 52c | 408$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 52c | 404$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Spurs | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…235ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 366$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…d27abacked Spurs | 52c | 366$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Spurs | 51c | 349.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Spurs | 52c | 336.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Spurs | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Spurs | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Spurs | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Spurs | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Spurs | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Spurs | 53c | 188.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Spurs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies | 49c | 183.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies | 47c | 176.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Grizzlies | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Spurs | 52c | 152.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 152.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Spurs | 52c | 133.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 57c | 129.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 129.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 50c | 124.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Spurs | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Spurs | 53c | 108.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Grizzlies | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Grizzlies | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Spurs | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Spurs | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Spurs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Spurs | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Spurs | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 87.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…3b75backed Spurs | 52c | 85.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Spurs | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…0026backed Spurs | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 48c | 77.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Grizzlies | 45c | 71.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Spurs | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs | 69c | 58.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Spurs | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Spurs | 52c | 57.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 56.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 53.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Grizzlies | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…fc1abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Spurs | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Spurs | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Spurs | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Spurs | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…6188backed Grizzlies | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spurs vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.