TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Spurs, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Spurs48c31,308$15,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,028.0687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs53c21,555$11,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,379.221,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Grizzlies52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs49c10,110$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Spurs51c9,900$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,037.9938434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies47c8,475$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.793,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Grizzlies52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8406454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies47c7,715$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,089.482,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Grizzlies51c7,592$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,720.134841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Spurs49c6,818$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.6611750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea2…6a02backed Grizzlies49c6,533$3,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies49c6,295$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,224.572,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.81,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Spurs50c5,358$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.41,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40047848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9918547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies52c4,584$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.091,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs50c4,291$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs51c3,982$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.652,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Grizzlies46c3,364$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.623747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs48c2,542$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.532,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies52c2,528$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.5474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies52c2,465$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Grizzlies52c2,327$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.8192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies50c2,200$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.752,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies45c1,903$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.34,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Grizzlies55c1,825$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.416144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs49c1,761$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies49c1,666$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.412,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Spurs47c1,590$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.319560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs45c1,530$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Spurs48c1,473$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.8857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Grizzlies49c1,300$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66349142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Grizzlies53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Grizzlies53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9945647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs55c995.51$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.292,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies47c989$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.175,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Grizzlies43c936.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.1410138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Grizzlies54c924.04$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0621142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Spurs49c873.19$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.783551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Grizzlies49c775.51$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5148546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs47c738$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.862,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs49c673$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.031,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Spurs48c625.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4640648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Grizzlies52c620$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.61,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Grizzlies53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28234447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies52c537$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.762,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Spurs48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Spurs49c515.14$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4212149.6%60 W · 61 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies49c503.31$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Spurs48c426.68$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8123250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Grizzlies47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Spurs48c364.58$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17515052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies53c318$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4685147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Grizzlies54c293.24$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.244153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies50c271.84$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.731,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies50c254.52$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Grizzlies47c213$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8915649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.52,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497a…883fbacked Spurs48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa296…ab9ebacked Spurs52c205.23$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.721850%9 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Grizzlies49c204.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0914647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Spurs49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Grizzlies48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10414742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed Spurs47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.992272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Grizzlies53c193.62$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9141652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Grizzlies52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3123553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Grizzlies54c189.24$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1416045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Grizzlies58c171.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5390957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Grizzlies47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs47c156.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.193,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Spurs49c152.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7438347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Grizzlies52c150.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8888845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52bb…2b47backed Grizzlies53c132$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Grizzlies54c131.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.381,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Grizzlies52c131.47$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.626451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Grizzlies49c130.74$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6842648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Spurs49c129.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.288347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Spurs10c117$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.131,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Spurs49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb2…71a2backed Spurs49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6943…0819backed Grizzlies52c102.02$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99af…fedcbacked Grizzlies50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked Grizzlies43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.541030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Grizzlies53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3415959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Spurs45c93.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Grizzlies53c87.74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.246654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Grizzlies49c86.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3723153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Grizzlies53c81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.071,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs53c80.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.61,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Grizzlies47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.462349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Grizzlies47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.47142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Grizzlies47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.