TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$721,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$722,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over43c685,248$294,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390,557.782055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under57c200,000$114,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,00060%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under57c193,986$110,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,572.298940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c107,352$60,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,659.991,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under58c72,296$41,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,912.062138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c34,543$19,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,473.621,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c16,913$9,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,532.23,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Under56c10,000$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6505160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under60c6,133$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,692.590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c5,526$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.544,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under70c3,377$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.773345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb220…7e92backed Under75c3,019$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Under71c2,827$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c2,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13050149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under57c1,318$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.423452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under57c1,145$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.7728055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x780c…7921backed Under61c948.14$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4489923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over41c785.86$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.4919344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under53c777.36$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Under64c750$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over71c600$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.53262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under57c544.5$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under57c526.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2809947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under62c486.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over37c463.36$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.47573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under56c444$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.649542.1%40 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under56c438.52$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.978241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under58c420$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.612951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over44c404$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.243351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22827652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22831751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under68c399.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.992339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Under43c353.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Under43c342.83$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.822548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Over37c312$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17129053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over32c291.3$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0861657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0252…38d7backed Over39c291$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c286.63$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under58c261.9$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.96238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.518152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.821849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.814244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…316ebacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Under52c215.38$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under61c203.5$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.42050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over39c200.49$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.38957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11415250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Under67c200$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under58c198.7$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.745152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Under61c180.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.617648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.616151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under61c162.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9916446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.211448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under64c157.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.863751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46b3…d3debacked Under56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.819652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Under68c135.8$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.510040%40 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c00…4b34backed Under60c132.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Under60c130$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under57c130$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.120949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over29c122.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under41c121$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.421051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.47951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.420652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.411952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.47045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.419750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.49945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.420250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.411346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Under62c112.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c110.02$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.831,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5719153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5721151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5718551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over33c99.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under58c98.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2720452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d1…0b89backed Over38c90.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.