La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7291a3eec6e0b53a51c2404aca8a77353882eb9a4bee6ca5d5436e99dfc36ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 38c | 2,495$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.24 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 63c | 1,634$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 47c | 1,200$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 44c | 959.99$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.59 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 582.48$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 57c | 541.33$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.11 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 37c | 536$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 470.24$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 66c | 422.71$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Over | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Under | 47c | 319.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Under | 39c | 275$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Over | 63c | 175.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Over | 63c | 157.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 55c | 151.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 41c | 113.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 36c | 91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 63c | 83.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 35c | 83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…e5e1backed Over | 65c | 82.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 73c | 78.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Over | 56c | 76.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…ef3abacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 66c | 60.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 53.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 55c | 50.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 71c | 49.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 64c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 27c | 38.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 59c | 26.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…81a7backed Over | 61c | 22.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…d4e6backed Over | 55c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…ff36backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 80cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.