NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67566add5fdfb214bce81e27ec0a9825901fb98e2e1ff49ae67b893dba7c10f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Clippers | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,299.98 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.98 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb202…41d5backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 28,673$14,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,050 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…ea76backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,228$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…0bbdbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,228$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…de05backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,220$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…3004backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…796dbacked Clippers | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6108…abc6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Clippers | 55c | 6,769$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.09 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 6,051$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…79abbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,622$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 5,417$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 53c | 4,416$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,194$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…cc8ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,076$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…c1c2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,857$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,795$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Clippers | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Clippers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Clippers | 52c | 849.4$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.71 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 600.42$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers | 54c | 473$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Clippers | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 53c | 284.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Clippers | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 189.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Clippers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 52c | 145.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 141$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Clippers | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 53c | 117.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Clippers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clippers | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Clippers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Clippers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Clippers | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 62.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…6abfbacked Clippers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Clippers | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Clippers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Clippers | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Clippers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Clippers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Clippers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Clippers | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Clippers | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 24.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Clippers | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Clippers | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Clippers | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Clippers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…6e6ebacked Clippers | 53c | 19.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Trail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail BlazersClippers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.