NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9580e73eba0226320534083558d8cb8eebc7b491fbf0229f1c94273b4c6b6281
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 45c | 69,327$31,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,213.49 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 55c | 66,133$36,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,487.33 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 53c | 8,844$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.45 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 3,376$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.68 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 46c | 2,180$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.47 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 59c | 1,744$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 56c | 1,639$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 54c | 1,494$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.55 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 1,134$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d5bfbacked Over | 27c | 950$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 26c | 765.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.42 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 54c | 556.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 55c | 340.91$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 79c | 300.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 240.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 41c | 224$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…b08fbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Under | 43c | 168.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 42c | 119.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Over | 57c | 113.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 46c | 109.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 57c | 99.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed Over | 52c | 97.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 54c | 91.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 79.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 76.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…a23cbacked Over | 50c | 65.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 57c | 64.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 52.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 42c | 43.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Over | 55c | 36.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…8194backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Over | 58c | 27.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Trail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail BlazersClippers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.