NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e4c0f0b6f1ed7fe5f2e3428b6bfa295edcc2adce6f58d1abab5c1c719840ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Under | 52c | 11,126$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,285.65 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 11,092$5,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,213.05 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 8,175$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.55 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Under | 53c | 5,611$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 5,417$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Under | 53c | 3,308$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 2,966$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.15 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,836$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.03 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 1,827$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.5 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 4c | 1,483$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a5…13c7backed Over | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 1,239$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.84 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 48c | 1,133$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.84 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 3c | 1,016$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 864.74$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.72 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 518$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 10c | 465.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Over | 48c | 389.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Over | 56c | 90.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 43.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…9dcebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ba…50f8backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…a14bbacked Over | 75c | 34.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Trail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail BlazersClippers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.