Euroleague · resolved market
BC Dubai vs. Olimpia Milano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0af0a1eb6ed1ffb32740a863d908862998b9015174d8708ace67211a049e222b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof BC Dubai, Olimpia Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed BC Dubai | 56c | 23,291$12,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,293.86 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Olimpia Milano | 45c | 6,461$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Olimpia Milano | 43c | 5,409$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Olimpia Milano | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 41c | 2,877$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.62 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed BC Dubai | 54c | 2,763$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Olimpia Milano | 32c | 1,230$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.03 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BC Dubai | 69c | 1,227$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.57 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed BC Dubai | 56c | 1,193$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BC Dubai | 79c | 1,057$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.25 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked BC Dubai | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Olimpia Milano | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Olimpia Milano | 44c | 886.28$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.86 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Olimpia Milano | 43c | 837.23$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.85 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Olimpia Milano | 44c | 794$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.64 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olimpia Milano | 17c | 677.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 614.28$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.71 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 600$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BC Dubai | 51c | 575.69$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.39 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked BC Dubai | 54c | 569.79$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Olimpia Milano | 28c | 544.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BC Dubai | 80c | 433$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Olimpia Milano | 45c | 429.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 423.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked BC Dubai | 49c | 315.28$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked BC Dubai | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Olimpia Milano | 27c | 289.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Olimpia Milano | 42c | 268.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed BC Dubai | 73c | 236.42$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Olimpia Milano | 45c | 222.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked BC Dubai | 49c | 168.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 130.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Olimpia Milano | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed BC Dubai | 51c | 118.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BC Dubai | 51c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Olimpia Milano | 43c | 86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Olimpia Milano | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Olimpia Milano | 15c | 82.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 71.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Olimpia Milano | 32c | 63.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…389fbacked Olimpia Milano | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Olimpia Milano | 50c | 50.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed BC Dubai | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…6e6ebacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 39.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Olimpia Milano | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked BC Dubai | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed BC Dubai | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed BC Dubai | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed BC Dubai | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 24.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked BC Dubai | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed BC Dubai | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.