TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under60c206,735$124,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,310.976566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over40c85,706$34,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,282.4610438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c70,635$27,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,832.671,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over40c10,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9505160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9912648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Over42c8,277$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5003345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c6,774$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.464,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c5,944$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.563,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Under69c5,799$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.841776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Over42c4,756$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over42c4,100$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9206546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf22c…5c89backed Under58c3,932$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under75c2,015$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.772763%17 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over42c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85050149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Under55c1,964$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.971145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under55c1,443$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.5110245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over39c1,250$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3209923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over42c729.48$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3811547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Under77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over31c489.85$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.431,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c457.73$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under60c417.12$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.129564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over42c405$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.112951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12327652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12329053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12331751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12318152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under58c277$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over44c275$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.756232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over41c240$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.421849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over41c240$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.414244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under67c231.67$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over42c224.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over43c223.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1619344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b554backed Over6c212.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8211448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd00c…d086backed Over42c179.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.215851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over29c142.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.394847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca44…6d4ebacked Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Under54c137$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.552857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Over42c135.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Over41c128$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.482740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under70c120.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5229946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.219750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.211346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.229053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over42c119.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Over46c109.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Under59c102.71$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.114652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22c7…f3b7backed Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over43c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.420054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Over32c89.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.39742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+133.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcda7…cf49backed Over40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.819553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Over24c79.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56328.6%18 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under58c78.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.712147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over42c66.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c61.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6412925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.618853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.619155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.618852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.619751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.619053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.615747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over43c57.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Over42c55.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Over41c53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.733145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over43c51.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Over42c51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.422454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Under59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8515832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Under59c49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x554f…afb4backed Under60c48.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.945534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.