La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd313353c930fb1f72173ddfb2237e0119f60800f6b2a5b3fa113c589786cf17c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under | 76c | 3,310$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.91 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 2,334$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.32 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 22c | 1,414$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.15 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 78c | 1,280$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 25c | 695$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 23c | 638$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 22c | 401.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 24c | 399$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 23c | 257$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 23c | 181$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 23c | 152$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…afabbacked Under | 78c | 126.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Under | 73c | 68.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 24c | 60.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…d484backed Under | 78c | 57.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Over | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…9e4ebacked Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Under | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Under | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Under | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Under | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Under | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…0528backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 78c | 19.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Under | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.