TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Yibing Wu vs Fabian Marozsan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wuof Wu, Marozsan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Wu50c41,478$20,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,859.5710444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marozsan52c18,903$9,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,833.3411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Marozsan49c6,951$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.962,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Marozsan50c6,000$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.821,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Wu43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85052844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Marozsan30c4,629$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.861,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Marozsan43c4,187$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.373268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Wu58c3,315$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.3835247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Marozsan22c3,119$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70012735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Wu49c2,904$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.796549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Marozsan48c2,700$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30567249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Marozsan50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Marozsan52c2,451$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.7131647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Marozsan48c1,833$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.192,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877a…9913backed Wu44c1,822$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Marozsan39c1,814$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.252,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Marozsan56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3418651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778f…3363backed Wu44c1,545$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…4e12backed Marozsan56c1,492$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Wu49c1,432$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.686046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Marozsan23c1,392$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…4b3ebacked Marozsan56c1,259$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Wu46c1,250$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6756036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Marozsan54c1,178$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.271,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8887…c607backed Wu69c1,157$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Marozsan56c1,124$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.4378452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa08a…de5bbacked Wu44c1,092$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Wu50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.1941645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Wu78c988.71$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.181172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffc4…39ebbacked Wu44c961$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marozsan51c937.72$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.241,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Wu42c911.07$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.8494355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marozsan36c881.22$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.698,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Marozsan63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Marozsan28c783.44$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3612631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab6…07eabacked Marozsan56c759$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Marozsan53c745.74$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Marozsan21c730.04$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4710815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61b6…6ab2backed Wu47c720.74$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfac6…14febacked Wu44c718$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Marozsan40c694.77$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4425542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa124…19c4backed Marozsan56c694$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb03d…0aa2backed Wu44c691$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2eb…83b2backed Marozsan19c615.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid+158.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Marozsan54c599.98$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Marozsan41c550.9$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.252,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Marozsan58c517.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Marozsan37c499.9$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3728139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Marozsan39c454.01$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1774233.3%14 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Marozsan13c450$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+134.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Wu45c445.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7265651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3811…5d15backed Wu44c432$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Marozsan15c407.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.813816.7%23 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Marozsan22c402.24$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.618250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2a…a023backed Marozsan56c398$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…2fccbacked Marozsan56c385$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcecc…8878backed Marozsan59c382.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Marozsan53c382.62$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20112627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9098…8114backed Marozsan56c364$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marozsan23c347.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.317,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Marozsan35c345.23$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0922236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Marozsan30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…05ccbacked Marozsan56c333$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Marozsan56c332.18$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.746,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd40…e410backed Marozsan56c330$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…5983backed Marozsan56c327$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Wu45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16515151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…6261backed Marozsan33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wu46c294.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1634842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd336…cecebacked Marozsan56c286$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Marozsan51c277.31$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6710252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Marozsan31c275$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8627058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Wu46c273.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7437339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wu41c269.17$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8273048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Wu74c268.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.77650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6f…778fbacked Wu54c251.43$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Marozsan60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15065040%260 W · 390 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d75…612ebacked Marozsan56c232$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Wu51c220.69$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1435944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Marozsan56c215.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Marozsan29c209.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6072957.3%418 W · 311 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Marozsan28c208.73$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3362545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb703…fdb2backed Marozsan56c202$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Wu44c200.02$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0157645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa751…ba09backed Marozsan56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d292backed Marozsan36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Marozsan56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11222840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Marozsan56c196.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015751%80 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Wu44c160.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.792958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Marozsan58c158.62$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9250%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Wu75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Wu44c149.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0912752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Wu68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.067365.8%48 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Wu65c145.41$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.332,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Wu69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Marozsan52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6549752.3%260 W · 237 L+28.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea63…682cbacked Marozsan49c123.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.04742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Marozsan17c121.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.591,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Marozsan57c117.41$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.75660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Wu43c113$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4144125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.