TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,189,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,193,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,189,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Blues45c600,000$267,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266,999.9410840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed Kings56c348,522$194,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,002.54654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings55c344,529$190,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,206.7656152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blues44c73,417$32,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,265.031,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Blues40c50,332$20,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,281.4826849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kings56c38,280$21,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,855.9248545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Blues45c29,471$13,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,261.794546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Blues4c26,173$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.722150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Blues43c26,021$11,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,189.1311745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Blues23c25,127$5,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,779.14148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blues44c25,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings56c20,413$11,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,881.7156649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa1…9303backed Kings56c16,617$9,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,311.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a55…db55backed Blues44c16,527$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,272.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Blues45c14,593$6,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,566.8514940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kings56c13,695$7,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,026.0150049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Blues44c11,000$4,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8408247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings55c10,318$5,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,686.231,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Blues44c10,256$4,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,512.6412047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11bc…aa21backed Blues45c10,148$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,520540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Kings55c9,933$5,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,469.733554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings57c9,890$5,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,252.761953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Kings57c9,742$5,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.9114753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings75c9,683$7,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.691,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x044a…f114backed Kings55c9,509$5,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,279.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Kings56c9,289$5,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.18848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x564c…014cbacked Blues45c8,886$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blues44c8,423$3,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.12,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings57c8,000$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kings57c7,954$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.531550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Kings55c7,898$4,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.918657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blues8c7,563$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.692,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings55c6,810$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues44c6,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8601,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Blues32c6,214$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.5710650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings55c5,625$3,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.2515949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Blues45c5,411$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.1133243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Kings56c5,400$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37615145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Kings55c5,300$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,38526946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Blues44c5,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2204346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Blues43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9731654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Blues45c4,898$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2043050%15 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Blues46c4,396$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.59052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Kings56c4,287$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.1926058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Kings56c4,080$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.367949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Blues45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8007347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kings55c3,793$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.6154047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues44c3,721$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.3360337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues26c3,312$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.4289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings55c3,115$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.711,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Blues45c3,027$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.112763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Kings73c3,000$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.4124945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Blues44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Blues44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3206443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues45c2,886$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2981,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Kings55c2,736$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.3621549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Kings56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Blues44c2,270$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.87138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Kings67c2,212$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.4185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Blues27c2,101$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.3839344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Kings57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Blues44c1,836$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.8626955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Kings55c1,723$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.8816254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Blues9c1,704$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.861,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blues44c1,670$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.844551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Blues45c1,667$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Kings55c1,580$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7113056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues43c1,519$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.731,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings55c1,500$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67251044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Blues43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64536038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blues39c1,404$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.642,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues36c1,400$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.893,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Blues44c1,376$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.269854.1%53 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues45c1,250$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues36c1,248$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.371,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Blues45c1,240$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.918547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blues3c1,234$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.582,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings56c1,232$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.2261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues23c1,214$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.272,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Blues44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008547.1%40 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Kings55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Blues44c1,085$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.431148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Blues44c1,058$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6242847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Blues3c1,048$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings55c1,024$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.6793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blues1c1,022$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Blues41c1,001$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.389157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Blues44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Blues44c1,000$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43511749.6%58 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Kings57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Blues45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Kings64c920.48$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33421856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings55c918.31$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.5591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Blues43c883.96$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.125045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee0e…b5cbbacked Kings56c843.2$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.24641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Blues46c831$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2610938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.