NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x375dbbdedfea0d39daa03a54022b167653cab0a132e2b241c514c0e109a51b3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Kings, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Kings | 36c | 17,127$6,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,165.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blues | 64c | 16,191$10,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.62 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 64c | 1,363$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.65 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Kings | 36c | 421.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Kings | 30c | 323$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Blues | 70c | 323$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 37c | 304$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kings | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues | 54c | 242.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Blues | 66c | 235$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 32c | 159.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Kings | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 65c | 140.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kings | 34c | 123.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Blues | 62c | 96.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Blues | 68c | 88.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Blues | 64c | 80.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Blues | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kings | 33c | 60.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Kings | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Kings | 52c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Blues | 62c | 47.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Blues | 68c | 39.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kings | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 61c | 28.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…dd7dbacked Kings | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Blues | 66c | 17.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Blues | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…eecebacked Blues | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. BluesKings won
- Kings vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.