South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8004078e4c4291880bd9e561fee6c4c9d358a91afb7966600f7be136a2ddbaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 53c | 15,841$8,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,434.81 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 53c | 10,158$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.64 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 5,829$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 3,809$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 14c | 701.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 482.48$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.03 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Yes | 57c | 436.84$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Yes | 53c | 266.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 50c | 263.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 50c | 249.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 243.91$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 51c | 211$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 31c | 209.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked No | 23c | 175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 51c | 173.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 60c | 169.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 77c | 159.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 29c | 132.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 22c | 124.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 51c | 97.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 89.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 47c | 79.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Yes | 54c | 74.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 57c | 66.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 56.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 24c | 52.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Yes | 56c | 51.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked No | 47c | 50.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed No | 47c | 38.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Yes | 51c | 37.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes | 56c | 24.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 51c | 23.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.