South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08491f8c93849aea25b9d146f29eaa214065c458b10474f5e360c0b817b7a2f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 3,422$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 3c | 1,698$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 16c | 1,518$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 23c | 1,250$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…3152backed Yes | 46c | 947.42$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 892.13$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.44 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 54c | 711.73$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 619.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.93 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 9c | 573.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 510.68$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 55c | 456$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 34c | 405$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 55c | 389.09$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 44c | 328.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…b7cdbacked Yes | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 24c | 262.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 46c | 254.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 32c | 171.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…91bebacked Yes | 16c | 151.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 144.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 45c | 98.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 45c | 95.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 21c | 93.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 56c | 77.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7303…4a82backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 20c | 51.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…8ec6backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 55c | 35.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.