Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x916eaeca4910b6e95b625b4844865075a89c67462666ab55aaa9de438d4c5a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Irvine Anteatersof California-San Diego Tritons, UC Irvine Anteaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 447,850$246,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246,244.48 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 45c | 300,000$135,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 45c | 140,807$63,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,444 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 51c | 21,928$11,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,682.43 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 4,953$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.29 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 4,152$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.84 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed California-San Diego Tritons | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 46c | 3,800$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 3,717$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.78 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 3,656$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.89 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 2,955$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 49c | 1,999$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 50c | 1,842$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 1,780$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.87 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed California-San Diego Tritons | 52c | 999$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 699.51$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 637.43$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.79 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 612.77$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California-San Diego Tritons | 6c | 317.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 310.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 294$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 207.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 205$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 204.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 190.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 158.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 143.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 10c | 140.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 100.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 97.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 68.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…a31ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 65.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 47c | 57.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 57.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…26febacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 52.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 41.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5822backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 39.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…16a9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 63c | 32.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 28.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed California-San Diego Tritons | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…6d65backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 25.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)this page
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. California-San Diego TritonsUC Irvine Anteaters won
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.