Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef0b4aa85ff404164a8076019c00035a515e06787f5a3f7e9e8b9293f5fc69f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 48c | 7,055$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,270$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 79c | 3,791$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 3,667$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.5 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 60c | 3,426$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.6 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,492$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.9 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,628$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 1,555$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,062$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 1,013$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.98 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 25c | 926$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 54c | 655.03$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.11 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 398.39$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 379.34$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 57c | 360$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 57c | 351.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 36c | 298.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 6c | 296.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.72 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 9c | 212.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 72c | 196.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 65c | 114$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…915fbacked Yes | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Yes | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Yes | 24c | 96.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 92.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 46c | 86.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 63c | 77.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 53c | 75.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…1e60backed Yes | 41c | 73.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 59c | 68.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 35c | 65.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 35c | 65.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Yes | 36c | 65.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 31c | 64.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…29fbbacked Yes | 32c | 62.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 66c | 49.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 46c | 49.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 75c | 39.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 53c | 36.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 64c | 32.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…6e0dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Yes | 64c | 31.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 27.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Yes | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Yes | 76c | 23.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…c5b5backed Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 60c | 22.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed No | 54c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…7ad5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.