TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Weber State Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Weber State Wildcatsof Eastern Washington Eagles, Weber State Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Eastern Washington Eagles56c1,653$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.63,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Weber State Wildcats64c1,351$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.722,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eastern Washington Eagles36c1,183$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.214,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Eastern Washington Eagles42c1,154$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.869849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Weber State Wildcats80c948.22$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.962,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Eastern Washington Eagles36c876.08$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.175,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Weber State Wildcats50c709$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…d82abacked Eastern Washington Eagles4c682.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Weber State Wildcats21c674.15$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.21,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Weber State Wildcats65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Weber State Wildcats68c580.4$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.541,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Weber State Wildcats66c499.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.997058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Weber State Wildcats63c349.21$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2145351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Eastern Washington Eagles37c311.87$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.398843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Weber State Wildcats63c275$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10232343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Weber State Wildcats71c257$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.571,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Washington Eagles34c219.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Eastern Washington Eagles35c199$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6535243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Eastern Washington Eagles39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Weber State Wildcats63c157.34$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3620254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eastern Washington Eagles51c150.41$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.091,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Weber State Wildcats61c143.24$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.542,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Eastern Washington Eagles11c130.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.793993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Eastern Washington Eagles39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Weber State Wildcats64c118.23$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.564,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ec…9049backed Weber State Wildcats55c110.53$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Weber State Wildcats66c98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.329771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Weber State Wildcats64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.755545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Washington Eagles39c76.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.834,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Weber State Wildcats55c73.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Eastern Washington Eagles45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Weber State Wildcats65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Eastern Washington Eagles80c46.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.862,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eastern Washington Eagles37c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.282,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Weber State Wildcats73c42.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.582763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c07…aeb0backed Weber State Wildcats65c35.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.433948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Weber State Wildcats64c29.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Eastern Washington Eagles37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.365657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Weber State Wildcats48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0161446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Weber State Wildcats64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.210151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Weber State Wildcats65c15.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.471,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.