Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x242f2f7f5c6c06ec83ef1021406b948eb6f82d265b17ef4f9e7e94230f999a86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof Green Bay Phoenix, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 73c | 1,859$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Green Bay Phoenix | 20c | 1,601$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.27 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 1,508$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.04 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…5024backed Green Bay Phoenix | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 1c | 1,144$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Youngstown State Penguins | 78c | 1,121$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 73c | 982.94$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 955.09$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 25c | 894.88$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 733.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 651.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Youngstown State Penguins | 73c | 628.5$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Youngstown State Penguins | 80c | 621.71$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.04 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…d27abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 19c | 488.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 469$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Green Bay Phoenix | 25c | 403$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Youngstown State Penguins | 73c | 391.26$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 381.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed Green Bay Phoenix | 29c | 341.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 306.5$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Youngstown State Penguins | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 19c | 211.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Green Bay Phoenix | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 156.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 155.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 149.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Green Bay Phoenix | 25c | 148.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 17c | 137.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 17c | 118.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 111.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 96.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Green Bay Phoenix | 17c | 94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…eb7abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 21c | 53.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Green Bay Phoenix | 28c | 50.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…5045backed Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 46.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Youngstown State Penguins | 76c | 45.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…850bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Green Bay Phoenix | 28c | 37.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…a0ebbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…c908backed Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Youngstown State Penguins | 72c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10eb…4dd8backed Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd03backed Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguinsthis page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 139.5Over won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-5.5)Youngstown State Penguins won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-6.5)Youngstown State Penguins won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.