Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42cef023a7a6364a01ff70b50d27b4ab9c7876af1e9098ac16511436a47bcbfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof Youngstown State Penguins, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 56c | 47,731$26,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,129.21 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 44c | 32,316$14,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,218.82 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 7,875$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 4,757$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 840$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 681.71$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 55c | 442.9$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 55c | 365.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Green Bay Phoenix | 46c | 228.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 142.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 46c | 86.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 55c | 70.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 54c | 44.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 35.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Green Bay Phoenix | 43c | 32.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-6.5)this page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State PenguinsYoungstown State Penguins won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 139.5Over won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-5.5)Youngstown State Penguins won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.