Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea2c0c539a2750df6fee515963a3d5ae4ca105830b75a25630bab8ad791d2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof Youngstown State Penguins, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 58c | 2,481$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.07 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 1,926$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.92 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 1,051$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Youngstown State Penguins | 58c | 867.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.77 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 513.5$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 59c | 412.87$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…cfeebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 59c | 217.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 202.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 58c | 66.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 47c | 59.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 58c | 41.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Green Bay Phoenix | 44c | 23.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-5.5)this page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State PenguinsYoungstown State Penguins won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 139.5Over won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-6.5)Youngstown State Penguins won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.