NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3516d1f9aca57ef0398782467cdf5d3c7c8171f78b4518de94ae0eccfcc669d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 14,946$6,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,875.07 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 9,393$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.62 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 48c | 6,016$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.68 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Under | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 47c | 5,330$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.09 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…fd04backed Under | 54c | 3,039$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Under | 53c | 2,432$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 2,046$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.55 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,813$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.54 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 48c | 1,167$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.19 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 1,001$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.47 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 49c | 1,001$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.48 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 850$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 443.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Under | 53c | 383.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 340$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 52c | 333.9$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 233.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 232.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 47c | 193.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Under | 79c | 174.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 53c | 151.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 71c | 140$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 60c | 120.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 53c | 116$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 79c | 87.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 58c | 87.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 77.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 48c | 74.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 45c | 72.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 67.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 46c | 67.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…2d48backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 25c | 43.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 45c | 39.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 55c | 34.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 53c | 30.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 44c | 24.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…52b7backed Over | 49c | 22.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 53c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 53c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. CanucksPenguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.