NHL · resolved market
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506210ad245687de8aa4bd9a0dbf1819b1735979a814e91afae233e8921d7456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Penguins, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Penguins | 38c | 6,767$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.1 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canucks | 62c | 2,934$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.95 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 3c | 1,588$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canucks | 63c | 1,045$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.65 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…a967backed Penguins | 37c | 1,020$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Canucks | 63c | 811.11$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.11 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Penguins | 38c | 529.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Canucks | 62c | 458.26$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…efb2backed Canucks | 63c | 420$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Penguins | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…80cbbacked Penguins | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…4bc0backed Canucks | 63c | 380$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Penguins | 40c | 373$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Canucks | 66c | 364.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 62c | 339.62$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…1975backed Canucks | 63c | 220$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Canucks | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Penguins | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Penguins | 38c | 141.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Canucks | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 61c | 139.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 36c | 130.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Penguins | 37c | 130.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penguins | 37c | 94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Canucks | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 26c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canucks | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penguins | 28c | 71.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Penguins | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…d753backed Penguins | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Penguins | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canucks | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Canucks | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Penguins | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Penguins | 37c | 47.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Penguins | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canucks | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Canucks | 63c | 44.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penguins | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Canucks | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Penguins | 39c | 27.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Penguins | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Canucks | 67c | 26.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Canucks | 61c | 26.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed Canucks | 64c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Canucks | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Canucks | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Canucks | 62c | 16.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)this page
- Penguins vs. CanucksPenguins won
- Penguins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.