Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morgan State Bears vs. Norfolk State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5012977e03e0a83c6cb665ce009d872b79cbdc1cdd0a7126c4ee8b5a388e0643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morgan State Bearsof Morgan State Bears, Norfolk State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Morgan State Bears | 37c | 9,617$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 64c | 7,353$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Norfolk State Spartans | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Norfolk State Spartans | 62c | 1,563$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.58 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Morgan State Bears | 16c | 1,102$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.04 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Norfolk State Spartans | 65c | 1,094$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.77 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Norfolk State Spartans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Morgan State Bears | 29c | 879.31$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Norfolk State Spartans | 61c | 867.27$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.35 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Norfolk State Spartans | 47c | 797.32$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Morgan State Bears | 9c | 752.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Morgan State Bears | 45c | 671.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.85 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Morgan State Bears | 31c | 649.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.88 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Morgan State Bears | 20c | 644.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.25 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Morgan State Bears | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.32 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked Morgan State Bears | 43c | 399.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Morgan State Bears | 79c | 394.32$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Morgan State Bears | 9c | 390$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.24 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 78c | 361.45$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.37 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Morgan State Bears | 42c | 349.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 60c | 347.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Morgan State Bears | 75c | 262$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Norfolk State Spartans | 34c | 252.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Morgan State Bears | 30c | 244.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Norfolk State Spartans | 66c | 239.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 65c | 225.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Norfolk State Spartans | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Morgan State Bears | 28c | 206.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Norfolk State Spartans | 11c | 201$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Morgan State Bears | 20c | 195.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Morgan State Bears | 29c | 195$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Morgan State Bears | 35c | 193$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 169.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Morgan State Bears | 52c | 160.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a9…b7b7backed Morgan State Bears | 29c | 139.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Morgan State Bears | 20c | 116.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Morgan State Bears | 56c | 111$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Morgan State Bears | 19c | 104.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 63c | 101.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Morgan State Bears | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Norfolk State Spartans | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Norfolk State Spartans | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Norfolk State Spartans | 62c | 89.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Morgan State Bears | 21c | 74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Morgan State Bears | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Morgan State Bears | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Morgan State Bears | 20c | 62.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Morgan State Bears | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Morgan State Bears | 32c | 56.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Norfolk State Spartans | 66c | 53.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Morgan State Bears | 31c | 52.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Morgan State Bears | 26c | 51.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Morgan State Bears | 39c | 50.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Morgan State Bears | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Morgan State Bears | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Morgan State Bears | 31c | 44.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…bcaebacked Morgan State Bears | 46c | 43.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Morgan State Bears | 42c | 35.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 62c | 34.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Morgan State Bears | 39c | 31.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 78c | 26.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Norfolk State Spartans | 71c | 20.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Norfolk State Spartans | 76c | 20.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Norfolk State Spartans | 72c | 15.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.