CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e82d334d1846a045b37b34c04601ed7f32ff1c32c40d512741af02b3a8299e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof Favbet, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x143d…2602backed Favbet | 63c | 2,943$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.57 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Favbet | 70c | 2,329$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.11 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Phantom | 39c | 993.86$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.84 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 31c | 810$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Favbet | 52c | 775.16$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Favbet | 58c | 545.76$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.54 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 60c | 515.3$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 35c | 472.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Favbet | 60c | 368.26$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Favbet | 61c | 346.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Phantom | 37c | 303.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Phantom | 30c | 281.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Favbet | 52c | 267.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1979…c15cbacked Favbet | 65c | 234.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…35ecbacked Phantom | 19c | 200.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Phantom | 48c | 189.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 42c | 173.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 13c | 166.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Phantom | 23c | 150.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Favbet | 60c | 135.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Phantom | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 34c | 118.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Phantom | 56c | 109.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…11b0backed Phantom | 14c | 100.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Phantom | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Favbet | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Phantom | 30c | 84.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Favbet | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Favbet | 60c | 74.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Phantom | 33c | 69.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Favbet | 64c | 69.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Phantom | 41c | 55.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…29dbbacked Favbet | 56c | 52.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed Favbet | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Phantom | 33c | 47.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Favbet | 60c | 46.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Favbet | 75c | 46.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Favbet | 63c | 46.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Favbet | 42c | 45.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…4e1cbacked Phantom | 45c | 42.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Favbet | 67c | 40.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked Favbet | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Favbet | 70c | 32.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…6fe7backed Phantom | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Phantom | 60c | 30.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phantom | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…b05cbacked Favbet | 64c | 29.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed Phantom | 42c | 27.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a9…b7b7backed Phantom | 46c | 25.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…ed4dbacked Phantom | 61c | 23.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Favbet | 68c | 15.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerFavbet won
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.