CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6ddfd2ce00ff79b03fd33980a94b309673363ad2f4e1733c2ecef3cb292113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 34c | 3,444$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.45 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Heroic | 36c | 1,522$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.13 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed GamerLegion | 56c | 1,255$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.55 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked GamerLegion | 64c | 1,089$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.85 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 54c | 880.93$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.41 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed GamerLegion | 80c | 799.65$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GamerLegion | 59c | 611.81$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 59c | 535.4$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 526.15$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked GamerLegion | 66c | 418$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Heroic | 28c | 363.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 42c | 270.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 40c | 257.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked GamerLegion | 60c | 245.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…b72dbacked GamerLegion | 41c | 234.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…c89abacked GamerLegion | 79c | 231.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed GamerLegion | 50c | 228.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Heroic | 50c | 228.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed GamerLegion | 41c | 224.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked Heroic | 19c | 194.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heroic | 28c | 156.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed GamerLegion | 72c | 115.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed GamerLegion | 42c | 114.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked GamerLegion | 42c | 111.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Heroic | 28c | 105.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…92cfbacked GamerLegion | 60c | 100.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed GamerLegion | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2b…dde9backed GamerLegion | 66c | 98.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a9…b7b7backed Heroic | 38c | 89.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed GamerLegion | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked GamerLegion | 57c | 87.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed GamerLegion | 68c | 83.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Heroic | 41c | 80.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked GamerLegion | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…9636backed Heroic | 28c | 64.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed GamerLegion | 47c | 58.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GamerLegion | 75c | 57.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Heroic | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Heroic | 36c | 55.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Heroic | 26c | 47.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…b6dcbacked GamerLegion | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…e069backed GamerLegion | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…0561backed GamerLegion | 56c | 31.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Heroic | 58c | 30.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked GamerLegion | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Heroic | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed GamerLegion | 69c | 24.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…5ca1backed GamerLegion | 61c | 22.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.