TailMyPicks
Market

Euroleague · resolved market

Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Fujian Sturgeons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guangzhou Loong Lionsof Guangzhou Loong Lions, Fujian Sturgeons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Guangzhou Loong Lions66c15,591$10,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,250.8713046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fujian Sturgeons26c9,225$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.6216828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Fujian Sturgeons38c3,046$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.8737052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c8…0081backed Fujian Sturgeons36c2,776$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Fujian Sturgeons24c2,362$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.535642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fujian Sturgeons39c2,294$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89228943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fujian Sturgeons14c1,775$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2336939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions73c1,575$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.835151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Fujian Sturgeons33c1,522$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.468845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions52c1,508$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.423336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9892…8137backed Guangzhou Loong Lions74c1,403$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.621952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Fujian Sturgeons28c1,375$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.782850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fujian Sturgeons29c1,302$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6424430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions58c1,183$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.611020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-61.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1337…6049backed Fujian Sturgeons36c1,162$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+167.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Fujian Sturgeons33c1,150$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6913220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3761…3d9dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions80c1,148$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x335e…f71abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions65c1,091$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Fujian Sturgeons37c980.09$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.341656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Fujian Sturgeons34c964.58$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.164946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions69c952$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.354251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions54c949.99$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions70c887.92$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1314037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb33…fadebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions69c832.41$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.021376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fujian Sturgeons17c821.52$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.117042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Fujian Sturgeons26c786.35$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.247462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fujian Sturgeons33c734.99$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.555642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Fujian Sturgeons29c731.3$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.989551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions69c710.67$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Fujian Sturgeons31c693.38$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.573652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Fujian Sturgeons32c599.5$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.847138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions67c582.93$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.761070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Fujian Sturgeons33c581.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.961838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Fujian Sturgeons33c581.53$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.963161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Guangzhou Loong Lions70c533.79$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.551850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Fujian Sturgeons34c521.81$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.12240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Guangzhou Loong Lions58c502.58$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.118936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Fujian Sturgeons21c485.24$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.786844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Fujian Sturgeons35c484.97$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.481323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fujian Sturgeons32c472.84$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2943543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab2…b321backed Fujian Sturgeons31c453.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Guangzhou Loong Lions67c438.9$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.843100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd403…048abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions69c426.7$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Fujian Sturgeons36c415.93$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.415648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e9…7b35backed Guangzhou Loong Lions71c400.33$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb291…bc03backed Fujian Sturgeons25c394.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.13742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fujian Sturgeons22c391.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5410947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a9…b7b7backed Fujian Sturgeons36c390.51$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Fujian Sturgeons39c366.19$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.663745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fujian Sturgeons15c361.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.416061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Guangzhou Loong Lions62c309.69$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.613545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Fujian Sturgeons32c301.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00c9…1d82backed Fujian Sturgeons25c301.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e8…f78fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions71c299.59$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.37100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Guangzhou Loong Lions75c298.5$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.621656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Fujian Sturgeons35c296.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.77728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Fujian Sturgeons44c290.4$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.962466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee27…4396backed Fujian Sturgeons25c267.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Fujian Sturgeons20c254$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.592528%7 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Fujian Sturgeons38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Fujian Sturgeons21c241.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.021050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fujian Sturgeons45c230.47$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6635234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Fujian Sturgeons19c229.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Fujian Sturgeons32c213.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Fujian Sturgeons12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Fujian Sturgeons24c200.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Fujian Sturgeons18c197.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Fujian Sturgeons6c183.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Fujian Sturgeons23c176.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.584953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions48c176.4$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.543036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Fujian Sturgeons17c168.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Guangzhou Loong Lions74c165.79$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.72887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Fujian Sturgeons27c164.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.272213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Fujian Sturgeons27c157$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.546450%32 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Guangzhou Loong Lions65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.72580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Fujian Sturgeons39c145.82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3619748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fujian Sturgeons35c139.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3225517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions76c139.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.046116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fujian Sturgeons50c128.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.821535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions61c128.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1226544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fujian Sturgeons35c127.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7331651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Guangzhou Loong Lions54c126.41$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.158544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Fujian Sturgeons22c125.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.175152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Fujian Sturgeons20c121.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Guangzhou Loong Lions70c121.14$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.762860.7%17 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Fujian Sturgeons32c119.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3710926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions68c118.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.734344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd684…f7c2backed Fujian Sturgeons29c118.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Fujian Sturgeons24c117.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.329946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Fujian Sturgeons34c112.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4210736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Fujian Sturgeons30c106$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Fujian Sturgeons23c106$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.381435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff4…4524backed Guangzhou Loong Lions74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Fujian Sturgeons33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.55152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Guangzhou Loong Lions65c96.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6326935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Fujian Sturgeons36c91.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabdd…cb3fbacked Fujian Sturgeons32c91.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.773721.6%8 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Fujian Sturgeons32c89.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Fujian Sturgeons29c88.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4320936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.