TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00c9…1d82

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
18
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$467.78
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.99
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$108.08
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$61.49
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,939Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+195.4%+$3,789.16
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,564.13
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.07
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$2,464.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,061.47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,227.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.67
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$352
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.