Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x441725b44ad2b61749933430ed0527656ef227ce78bda0d6e49076b81846f1ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 38c | 37,736$14,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,339.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 17,324$11,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,114.19 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 64c | 7,706$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.54 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 76c | 7,112$5,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.56 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 37c | 4,158$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.6 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 3,909$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.15 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 1c | 3,750$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 62c | 3,302$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.97 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 40c | 3,163$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 1,971$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.18 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 39c | 1,861$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.63 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6d…49acbacked Over | 38c | 1,800$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 62c | 1,792$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.47 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 20c | 1,517$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.78 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 63c | 1,511$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.34 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 65c | 1,497$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.34 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 39c | 1,481$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 1,319$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.95 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 61c | 1,229$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.31 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 26c | 1,176$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 62c | 1,142$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 63c | 1,049$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.29 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 66c | 881.64$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 29c | 816.82$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 38c | 580.87$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 494.78$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 39c | 481.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 38c | 465.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 39c | 370.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 27c | 355.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 327.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 62c | 326.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 314.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 63c | 310.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 63c | 301.25$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 25c | 299.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 62c | 299.02$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 296.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 27c | 288.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 63c | 261.62$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 249.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 72c | 216.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 19c | 206.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Under | 62c | 175.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 63c | 155.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 152.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 69c | 148.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…e6e2backed Under | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Over | 41c | 142.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 32c | 134.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 78c | 126.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 20c | 124.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Under | 62c | 117.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 38c | 114.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 12c | 105.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 61c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…00d5backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…3875backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 11cpaid | +1,591.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed Over | 10c | 98.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 62c | 94.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 62c | 94.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 28c | 75.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 62c | 75.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 61c | 75.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…b740backed Under | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 59.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 63c | 57.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 73 | 78.1%57 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca4…c4a5backed Over | 35c | 52.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +62%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 24c | 47.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 62c | 47.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Under | 62c | 47.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 32c | 42.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 39.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Under | 71c | 38.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 62c | 37.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 63c | 35.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a9…b7b7backed Over | 34c | 33.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Under | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 63c | 31.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 70c | 30.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 76c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Under | 61c | 29.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Under | 63c | 29.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 62c | 26.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.