Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf020a29380eec8c716fb8f7e7b5fafd86968b9ed065942aac6603851b3eacac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 60c | 13,635$8,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,453.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 11,551$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.17 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 61c | 10,484$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.86 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 7,550$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.19 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 6,998$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.67 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 60c | 6,833$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.21 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Over | 61c | 5,901$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.34 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 61c | 4,544$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 4,440$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.2 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 3,066$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.77 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 51c | 2,642$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.21 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 40c | 2,592$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.91 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 40c | 2,276$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.42 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Over | 61c | 2,134$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.39 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 58c | 2,096$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.63 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 61c | 1,849$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.71 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 39c | 1,756$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.71 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 40c | 1,644$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.7 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 62c | 1,614$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.3 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 1,568$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.67 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 55c | 1,367$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.36 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 39c | 1,247$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.77 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 40c | 1,230$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.06 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 40c | 1,230$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.06 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 40c | 1,168$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.26 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 40c | 1,135$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 49c | 1,132$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Under | 38c | 1,111$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 62c | 1,086$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.55 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 60c | 1,072$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.87 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 40c | 1,060$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.53 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 61c | 962.16$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 840$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 40c | 819.02$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.72 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 781.56$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 741.66$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 40c | 725$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.19 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 60c | 662.2$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 657.79$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…ea4cbacked Under | 55c | 649.97$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 39c | 607.51$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.93 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 39c | 584.17$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.82 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 39c | 566.6$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 39c | 566.44$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9113…1cfabacked Over | 60c | 539.78$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 50c | 512.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 39c | 510$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 39c | 492.2$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 426.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 61c | 426.01$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 39c | 415.92$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 41c | 399.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 49c | 395.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 382.82$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…5d2dbacked Under | 52c | 371.35$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Under | 39c | 370.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Over | 60c | 366$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 39c | 337.34$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 8c | 336.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 60c | 324.79$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 40c | 318.07$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 307.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 39c | 301.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 297.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 39c | 290.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 39c | 279.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 39c | 279.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 50c | 265.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 39c | 246.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 40c | 245.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 40c | 210.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 61c | 185.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Under | 39c | 178.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 162.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…eb65backed Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 39c | 159.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 38c | 149.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 147.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 40c | 125.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 120.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 48c | 117.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 53c | 112.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 39c | 112.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.