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La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$368,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes33c59,374$19,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,593.572138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No67c58,651$39,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,354.979748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No49c51,236$25,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,103.5312853.1%68 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes48c41,721$20,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,025.884247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c40,593$31,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,630.584,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes51c13,753$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes31c11,607$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.139640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No67c9,367$6,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.118041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes49c7,737$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,776.4526372.2%190 W · 73 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c6,818$4,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.9553249.4%263 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No67c6,525$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.987338.4%28 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes53c5,661$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.5989139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes31c5,406$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.6326930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.989358.1%54 W · 39 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…a32abacked Yes31c4,865$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes32c4,200$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No50c4,013$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.139957.6%57 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No55c3,991$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.538045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x880a…e678backed Yes65c3,700$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0855742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes55c3,315$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.0764732.3%209 W · 438 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No79c3,311$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.6440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No51c3,143$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.069851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No32c3,079$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.594748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No56c2,355$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.41,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed No47c2,355$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+105.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No35c2,190$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.8169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e41…46c4backed No69c2,056$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked No61c2,049$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.892653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3004344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9831…62dfbacked No69c1,683$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes66c1,607$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.622532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No70c1,315$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.461973.7%14 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfe…1afcbacked No47c1,272$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.7650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+83.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16f2…f62cbacked Yes57c1,200$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No47c1,198$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.982657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes31c1,129$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…1008backed No69c1,126$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes31c1,066$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4626550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No57c1,012$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.334837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6504332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9911436%41 W · 73 L+9.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+446%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Yes38c914.77$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.611163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd441…87febacked Yes50c914.77$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes57c879.11$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c869.04$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.6990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No68c832.54$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.9511751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes17c777.43$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1213430.6%41 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3934…8352backed No68c771.84$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Yes3c718.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No67c688.07$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.063060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes33c675.72$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7710848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes9c653.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.981010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-81%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes38c651.67$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6375257.2%430 W · 322 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Yes32c614.25$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.561030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c600$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503129%9 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No40c482.8$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.684845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked Yes31c456.42$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.497851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes31c451.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010744.9%48 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No49c440.75$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.621471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+76.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed No35c423.69$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.695646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13222746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes30c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.821,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes31c395.2$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.51825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No51c393.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes31c389.52$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.756033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Yes45c378.55$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c347$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed No70c335.64$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.695442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Yes30c331.06$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes23c329.62$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.984634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked No31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.582060%12 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes32c320$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.44528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Yes33c316.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.321957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb86…1dc5backed Yes32c313$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.161625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Yes33c305.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c304.86$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9323947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No67c299$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes12c286.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes72c282.82$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.535453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes33c266.94$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0911037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes39c256.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked No47c249$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.971553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No68c236.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3335145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes33c235$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.551723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c233.23$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.349447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Yes33c213.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed Yes40c207.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610256.9%58 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6289350.1%447 W · 446 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Yes33c198.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.