CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs 6666 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7bdf31b58713dfa049ccb7f166dd9756cf997c675ab79ef21d9f65fb4f62fbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 6666of Iberian Soul, 6666
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Iberian Soul | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.97 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…c9d0backed 6666 | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 6666 | 41c | 2,083$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.76 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed 6666 | 11c | 1,487$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.21 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Iberian Soul | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Iberian Soul | 66c | 1,044$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.87 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5785…e5cbbacked 6666 | 22c | 955.32$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Iberian Soul | 64c | 772.81$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 6666 | 33c | 770$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…a595backed 6666 | 36c | 693.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 6666 | 34c | 382$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.77 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Iberian Soul | 33c | 380$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked 6666 | 36c | 367.49$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed 6666 | 12c | 364.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.05 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 6666 | 41c | 337$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.26 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked 6666 | 57c | 311.14$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Iberian Soul | 59c | 279.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed 6666 | 38c | 263.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Iberian Soul | 64c | 262.83$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.56 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked 6666 | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed Iberian Soul | 57c | 249.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 6666 | 60c | 217.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Iberian Soul | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed 6666 | 47c | 199.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 6666 | 44c | 194.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked Iberian Soul | 52c | 192.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Iberian Soul | 60c | 184.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed 6666 | 66c | 165$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed 6666 | 44c | 148.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked 6666 | 46c | 145.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked 6666 | 71c | 141.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Iberian Soul | 71c | 140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -13.4wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed 6666 | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed 6666 | 52c | 126.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed 6666 | 13c | 125.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed 6666 | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked 6666 | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed 6666 | 42c | 112.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed 6666 | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed 6666 | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed 6666 | 36c | 86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Iberian Soul | 59c | 80.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…754fbacked Iberian Soul | 63c | 79.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Iberian Soul | 78c | 73.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed 6666 | 22c | 71.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed 6666 | 23c | 70.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Iberian Soul | 45c | 69.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 6666 | 40c | 67.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed 6666 | 24c | 67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed 6666 | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 6666 | 41c | 64.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed 6666 | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Iberian Soul | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed 6666 | 40c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Iberian Soul | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Iberian Soul | 69c | 44.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…5cabbacked 6666 | 80c | 44.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 6666 | 33c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Iberian Soul | 78c | 41.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 6666 | 38c | 40.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 6666 | 63c | 39.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…77f3backed Iberian Soul | 77c | 34.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked 6666 | 40c | 32.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…abf5backed 6666 | 40c | 31.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed Iberian Soul | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Iberian Soul | 71c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Iberian Soul | 41c | 24.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9b…719dbacked 6666 | 45c | 24.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Iberian Soul | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…0eeebacked Iberian Soul | 66c | 22.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Iberian Soul | 64c | 22.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c80…814bbacked Iberian Soul | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Iberian Soul | 67c | 19.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed Iberian Soul | 74c | 18.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Iberian Soul | 73c | 15.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs 6666 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8this page
- Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs 6666 - Map 1 Winner6666 won
- Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs 6666 - Map 2 WinnerIberian Soul won
- Map Handicap: IS (-1.5) vs 6666 (+1.5)6666 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.