Lol · resolved market
LoL: Axolotl vs Deacoy (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55c52c7433db4f46c7db5f2e0d5119c20b0a8f3ac019bae335dc22eab4545fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deacoyof Axolotl, Deacoy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Deacoy | 78c | 7,575$5,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.23 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Axolotl | 2c | 5,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -74%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Axolotl | 20c | 3,948$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.09 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Axolotl | 49c | 3,430$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.75 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Deacoy | 52c | 3,086$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.98 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed Axolotl | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Axolotl | 24c | 2,963$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa17a…fe9bbacked Deacoy | 43c | 2,050$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…d762backed Deacoy | 43c | 2,005$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Axolotl | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Axolotl | 44c | 1,417$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.71 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Axolotl | 15c | 1,089$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Axolotl | 31c | 1,052$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.39 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…4fc7backed Axolotl | 57c | 1,050$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…1168backed Deacoy | 43c | 1,050$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Axolotl | 13c | 1,043$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Deacoy | 57c | 974.35$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.97 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Axolotl | 36c | 929.72$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.02 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Axolotl | 33c | 888.74$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.72 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Deacoy | 51c | 851.42$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.09 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Axolotl | 20c | 759$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Axolotl | 34c | 700$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…061bbacked Axolotl | 57c | 690$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Axolotl | 34c | 684.2$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d62…9a1bbacked Axolotl | 57c | 683$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…2baabacked Axolotl | 57c | 677$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…8088backed Axolotl | 57c | 675$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…4901backed Axolotl | 57c | 670$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…a933backed Axolotl | 57c | 660$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Axolotl | 5c | 642.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Deacoy | 47c | 586.43$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Deacoy | 44c | 567.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.91 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c1…96d3backed Axolotl | 58c | 485$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Axolotl | 53c | 390$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Deacoy | 75c | 374.29$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Axolotl | 6c | 320$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Axolotl | 41c | 300.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Axolotl | 54c | 279.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Axolotl | 7c | 260.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Axolotl | 12c | 252.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Axolotl | 56c | 235.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…0938backed Deacoy | 68c | 202.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Axolotl | 48c | 200.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Deacoy | 45c | 167$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…7066backed Deacoy | 48c | 165.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Axolotl | 56c | 115.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Axolotl | 56c | 106.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Deacoy | 45c | 102.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Axolotl | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Deacoy | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Axolotl | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Deacoy | 65c | 97.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Axolotl | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Axolotl | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed Axolotl | 37c | 64.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Axolotl | 26c | 64.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…2db2backed Axolotl | 36c | 60.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 246 | 29.7%73 W · 173 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Axolotl | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Deacoy | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Deacoy | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Deacoy | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Deacoy | 73c | 48.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Axolotl | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Deacoy | 42c | 45.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Axolotl | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…31f5backed Deacoy | 57c | 43.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Axolotl | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…9ab5backed Deacoy | 75c | 30.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Axolotl | 36c | 28.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Deacoy | 58c | 27.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Deacoy | 43c | 24.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b7…5820backed Axolotl | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.