Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Furman Paladins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eeb6f0cb5d98b54d35821acfefc3393099b4b3a450fb14a572b604e4fa9eb81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Chattanooga Mocs, Furman Paladins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Chattanooga Mocs | 6c | 3,700$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chattanooga Mocs | 3c | 2,315$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Chattanooga Mocs | 25c | 1,800$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 26c | 1,467$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chattanooga Mocs | 2c | 1,240$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 23c | 1,177$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.7 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Furman Paladins | 78c | 1,110$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 2c | 614.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 21c | 599.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chattanooga Mocs | 5c | 543.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Furman Paladins | 77c | 499$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Furman Paladins | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Chattanooga Mocs | 23c | 365.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Furman Paladins | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 15c | 299.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 23c | 260.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Chattanooga Mocs | 8c | 220.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Chattanooga Mocs | 21c | 203.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chattanooga Mocs | 6c | 198.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chattanooga Mocs | 7c | 197.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Chattanooga Mocs | 18c | 162$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Chattanooga Mocs | 24c | 153.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 17c | 142.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 14c | 141.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Furman Paladins | 79c | 126.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Furman Paladins | 75c | 107$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Furman Paladins | 78c | 106.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Furman Paladins | 78c | 101.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…18bcbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 15c | 94.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins | 77c | 88.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chattanooga Mocs | 21c | 50.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Furman Paladins | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chattanooga Mocs vs. Furman Paladinsthis page
- Chattanooga Mocs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-8.5)Chattanooga Mocs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.