Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Furman Paladins (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58adaeb9084fc84c71b95eeb07af0ea8cce307a5c0940ac5f6163a1254a2007e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chattanooga Mocsof Furman Paladins, Chattanooga Mocs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 56c | 5,700$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins | 44c | 4,762$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 25c | 2,305$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.61 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chattanooga Mocs | 37c | 1,631$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chattanooga Mocs | 29c | 1,377$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.32 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Furman Paladins | 55c | 743.8$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.85 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Furman Paladins | 45c | 548.68$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins | 46c | 483.3$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Chattanooga Mocs | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…50d9backed Furman Paladins | 54c | 189$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…0e02backed Chattanooga Mocs | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Chattanooga Mocs | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 37c | 97.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Chattanooga Mocs | 41c | 73.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Furman Paladins | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Chattanooga Mocs | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Chattanooga Mocs | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-8.5)this page
- Chattanooga Mocs vs. Furman PaladinsFurman Paladins won
- Chattanooga Mocs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.