Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5654664c5eb9a355e8a13f69575fe308d1508f54d208d9e62328fc16bb45d852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 54c | 35,382$19,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,032.17 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 34,206$16,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,477.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 49c | 19,236$9,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,515.12 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 5,552$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.87 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 51c | 4,856$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 46c | 4,097$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.22 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 46c | 2,356$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.24 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 1,498$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.92 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 1,008$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.32 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 46c | 504.35$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.35 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 490.86$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 369.77$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.58 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 270.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 259.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 240.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Under | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 53c | 99.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 50c | 65.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Under | 46c | 41.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…7132backed Over | 53c | 35.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chattanooga Mocs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 145.5this page
- Chattanooga Mocs vs. Furman PaladinsFurman Paladins won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-8.5)Chattanooga Mocs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.