Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x067e935191ec15c91a08be05ee3a8f483bc1eae41940e74bbf4a1432ba0f596e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 2,071$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,734$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 1,565$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.89 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 39c | 702$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 10c | 661.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 79c | 640$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.25 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…7e3dbacked Yes | 77c | 624.57$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 19c | 550.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 18c | 472.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 28c | 387.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 7c | 318.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 18c | 277.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 68c | 272.89$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 227.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 218.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 51c | 202.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 174.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Yes | 36c | 159.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 75c | 116$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 51c | 114$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 42c | 100.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…ea56backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 93.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 19c | 76.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 73.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 76c | 61.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 42c | 55.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 30c | 47.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked Yes | 33c | 45.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 44c | 38.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…045abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…8ebdbacked Yes | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 29.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Yes | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yes | 70c | 18.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-19?Yes won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-01-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.