TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, South America Rejects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed South America Rejects19c62,968$12,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,096.771,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects25c15,585$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,964.2189440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Liquid74c12,363$9,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.2759254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6438…fc41backed South America Rejects11c9,038$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.922050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Liquid75c7,602$5,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.416354%34 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked South America Rejects16c7,071$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.299428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects25c5,480$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.288539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid74c4,688$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.4729160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked South America Rejects27c4,518$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.6512630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Liquid77c4,253$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.376569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Team Liquid73c4,043$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed South America Rejects23c4,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f1…fa00backed South America Rejects12c3,552$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.42433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects29c3,305$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.3861745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid75c3,272$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.016553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid75c2,402$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4928062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid75c2,028$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed South America Rejects10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked South America Rejects24c1,837$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9310618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects16c1,752$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.051,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects25c1,750$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.51,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Liquid73c1,708$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.749850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked South America Rejects23c1,687$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.4323546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed Team Liquid73c1,528$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.515950.3%80 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Team Liquid72c1,504$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.1234860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid80c1,376$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.262,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Team Liquid72c1,363$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Team Liquid73c1,351$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.812352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7015…c498backed Team Liquid73c1,340$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Team Liquid76c1,323$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.474235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Liquid78c1,264$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.146160.7%37 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed South America Rejects23c1,204$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6751140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Team Liquid79c1,168$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.565930.5%18 W · 41 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd49…3096backed South America Rejects14c1,102$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.635424.1%13 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed South America Rejects25c1,038$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7180742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Liquid73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff4c…5082backed Team Liquid75c985$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid75c985$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2532951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2978…4a1cbacked Team Liquid70c950$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2856873.5%50 W · 18 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed South America Rejects21c946.95$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.911,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid75c939.95$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.891,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed South America Rejects25c933.1$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.271957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Liquid76c932.88$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.588540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked South America Rejects20c915.57$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3437223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed South America Rejects14c887.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked South America Rejects30c879.21$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7613854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects24c858.96$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Team Liquid72c856.2$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.744951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed South America Rejects28c854.29$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.29754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked South America Rejects25c845.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7843049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked Team Liquid73c817.4$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.76863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed South America Rejects16c800$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12823342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Liquid79c750.02$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.421650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid79c715.73$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.511,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed South America Rejects27c706.45$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.749045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects23c704.06$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.151,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed South America Rejects10c690.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0616842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked South America Rejects14c681.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8448539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked South America Rejects14c674.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.895824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed South America Rejects14c641.1$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.171342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed South America Rejects19c630.51$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11925339.1%99 W · 154 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Team Liquid74c627.5$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1522363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid74c598.73$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6780544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed South America Rejects26c551.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.345450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Liquid69c541.65$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1617965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Liquid74c532.95$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.317060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked South America Rejects11c515.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.759948.5%48 W · 51 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed South America Rejects25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12537745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14048352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked South America Rejects31c479.3$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5885851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Liquid72c409.67$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7167555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Team Liquid75c406.88$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7234561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid73c397.46$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3161548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd99…c06cbacked Team Liquid74c385.98$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.552166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc173…be7cbacked South America Rejects27c375.12$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.172737%10 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid80c367.66$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.231,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed South America Rejects16c340.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0520740.1%83 W · 124 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects23c332.49$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.530647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed South America Rejects26c299.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1318544.9%83 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed South America Rejects28c272.28$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0946150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed South America Rejects29c267.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5511652.6%61 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Liquid75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6738167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed South America Rejects20c256.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7736138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked South America Rejects25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.517133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked South America Rejects27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.52962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Team Liquid73c244.87$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.117452.7%39 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects15c229.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.431,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfd…01a2backed South America Rejects18c211.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x115a…98e1backed Team Liquid73c208.89$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde19…0f32backed South America Rejects16c207.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.244645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac3…1347backed Team Liquid74c196.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.193836.8%14 W · 24 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid73c196.76$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1364149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Team Liquid74c192.49$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.016749.3%33 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Liquid76c186.35$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2322543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…9213backed Team Liquid73c180.82$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.82955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked South America Rejects16c178$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed South America Rejects27c170.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.145147.1%24 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked South America Rejects20c164.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3731126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Liquid75c164.15$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.547954.4%43 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed South America Rejects25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.