Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc95d266a02ff9e79c9533a2f04f749bbfb37b4602f89eecc83a51d8c9718d802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed South America Rejects | 19c | 62,968$12,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,096.77 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects | 25c | 15,585$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.21 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 12,363$9,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.27 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fc41backed South America Rejects | 11c | 9,038$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Liquid | 75c | 7,602$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.41 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked South America Rejects | 16c | 7,071$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.29 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects | 25c | 5,480$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid | 74c | 4,688$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.47 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked South America Rejects | 27c | 4,518$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.65 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 4,253$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.37 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Team Liquid | 73c | 4,043$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed South America Rejects | 23c | 4,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed South America Rejects | 12c | 3,552$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects | 29c | 3,305$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.38 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 3,272$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.01 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 2,402$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 2,028$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed South America Rejects | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked South America Rejects | 24c | 1,837$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.93 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects | 16c | 1,752$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.05 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects | 25c | 1,750$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,708$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.74 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked South America Rejects | 23c | 1,687$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.43 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,528$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,504$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.12 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,376$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,363$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,351$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7015…c498backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,340$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,323$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,264$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.14 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed South America Rejects | 23c | 1,204$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,168$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…3096backed South America Rejects | 14c | 1,102$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed South America Rejects | 25c | 1,038$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.71 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…5082backed Team Liquid | 75c | 985$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid | 75c | 985$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 950$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed South America Rejects | 21c | 946.95$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 75c | 939.95$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.89 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed South America Rejects | 25c | 933.1$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Liquid | 76c | 932.88$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.58 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked South America Rejects | 20c | 915.57$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed South America Rejects | 14c | 887.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked South America Rejects | 30c | 879.21$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects | 24c | 858.96$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.59 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Team Liquid | 72c | 856.2$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.74 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed South America Rejects | 28c | 854.29$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked South America Rejects | 25c | 845.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Team Liquid | 73c | 817.4$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.7 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed South America Rejects | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 750.02$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 715.73$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed South America Rejects | 27c | 706.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 23c | 704.06$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed South America Rejects | 10c | 690.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked South America Rejects | 14c | 681.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked South America Rejects | 14c | 674.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed South America Rejects | 14c | 641.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed South America Rejects | 19c | 630.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Liquid | 74c | 627.5$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 74c | 598.73$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed South America Rejects | 26c | 551.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 541.65$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 532.95$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked South America Rejects | 11c | 515.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed South America Rejects | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked South America Rejects | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Liquid | 72c | 409.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Liquid | 75c | 406.88$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 73c | 397.46$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 385.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…be7cbacked South America Rejects | 27c | 375.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 80c | 367.66$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed South America Rejects | 16c | 340.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects | 23c | 332.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed South America Rejects | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed South America Rejects | 28c | 272.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed South America Rejects | 29c | 267.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Liquid | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed South America Rejects | 20c | 256.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked South America Rejects | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked South America Rejects | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Team Liquid | 73c | 244.87$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects | 15c | 229.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfd…01a2backed South America Rejects | 18c | 211.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed Team Liquid | 73c | 208.89$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…0f32backed South America Rejects | 16c | 207.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Team Liquid | 74c | 196.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 73c | 196.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Team Liquid | 74c | 192.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Liquid | 76c | 186.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…9213backed Team Liquid | 73c | 180.82$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked South America Rejects | 16c | 178$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed South America Rejects | 27c | 170.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked South America Rejects | 20c | 164.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 164.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed South America Rejects | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.