Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab020f46cf8e0ef1eb94d3e2e7e3d835ec3c878e2a59b25c2a98cd0fb72ab39a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $498,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed South America Rejects | 35c | 71,014$25,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,087.7 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 64c | 61,555$39,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,208.36 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects | 3c | 32,457$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.66 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Liquid | 64c | 23,575$15,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,494.38 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed South America Rejects | 1c | 19,266$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects | 38c | 17,172$6,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,576.08 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed South America Rejects | 2c | 11,047$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed South America Rejects | 40c | 10,579$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.06 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 9,784$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.24 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked South America Rejects | 33c | 7,208$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.9 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked South America Rejects | 36c | 6,634$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.26 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed South America Rejects | 35c | 6,503$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.91 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Liquid | 63c | 5,978$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.95 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid | 77c | 5,828$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.15 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed South America Rejects | 36c | 5,772$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.75 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Liquid | 65c | 5,421$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.27 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Liquid | 65c | 5,214$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.84 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 4,894$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.75 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 64c | 4,360$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.6 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed South America Rejects | 38c | 3,397$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.26 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked South America Rejects | 2c | 3,373$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 62c | 3,172$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.66 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 65c | 3,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid | 63c | 2,993$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.2 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 2,935$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.01 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked South America Rejects | 22c | 2,689$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.82 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 2,615$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.25 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed South America Rejects | 35c | 2,490$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.76 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,423$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.79 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed South America Rejects | 7c | 2,422$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed South America Rejects | 26c | 2,389$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.62 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,208$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.86 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Team Liquid | 65c | 2,055$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.71 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 62c | 2,000$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.18 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed South America Rejects | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…019bbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,830$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,794$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.96 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,793$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.59 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,772$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.96 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,715$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.52 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,682$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed South America Rejects | 39c | 1,640$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.75 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,601$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.38 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,527$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.8 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed South America Rejects | 38c | 1,469$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.03 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed South America Rejects | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,370$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.38 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed South America Rejects | 37c | 1,325$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.24 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,322$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed South America Rejects | 5c | 1,295$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed South America Rejects | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed South America Rejects | 34c | 1,121$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked South America Rejects | 3c | 1,059$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed South America Rejects | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.03 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked South America Rejects | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed South America Rejects | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked South America Rejects | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…b70fbacked South America Rejects | 36c | 980.44$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.24 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed South America Rejects | 36c | 961.6$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.18 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed South America Rejects | 39c | 958.46$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked South America Rejects | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed South America Rejects | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed South America Rejects | 2c | 941.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed South America Rejects | 32c | 934.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked South America Rejects | 23c | 918.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed South America Rejects | 39c | 886.28$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.65 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed South America Rejects | 9c | 877.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects | 32c | 874.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed South America Rejects | 37c | 848.81$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.06 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects | 34c | 809.02$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.55 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 799.98$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed South America Rejects | 34c | 797.67$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.21 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…b74fbacked South America Rejects | 27c | 789.73$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed South America Rejects | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed South America Rejects | 38c | 738.84$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.76 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Liquid | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed South America Rejects | 18c | 698.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked South America Rejects | 36c | 681.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed South America Rejects | 7c | 660.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 64c | 655$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.8 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked South America Rejects | 39c | 654.62$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 653.98$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…eca5backed Team Liquid | 64c | 640.38$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked South America Rejects | 6c | 629.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed South America Rejects | 39c | 608.79$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 65c | 607.29$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Liquid | 65c | 599.99$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid | 72c | 599.4$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 66c | 592.3$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked South America Rejects | 24c | 591.79$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed South America Rejects | 35c | 573.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Team Liquid | 65c | 560.22$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed South America Rejects | 38c | 555.59$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Team Liquid | 63c | 540.41$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 77c | 534.49$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Team Liquid | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 499.9$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.