CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027c9269a3369765dcc4b9dacdc479ab2b49120f50b91003ab6858ebb643c3ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Gentle Mates | 17c | 4,255$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.23 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NIP | 74c | 1,699$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.52 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 1,572$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 63c | 1,539$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.14 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP | 72c | 1,399$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.83 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Gentle Mates | 39c | 1,389$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.3 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Gentle Mates | 10c | 1,218$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 1,133$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.3 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 26c | 1,107$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.57 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed NIP | 66c | 1,024$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.76 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 79c | 850.6$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Gentle Mates | 5c | 600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 66c | 567.66$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 57c | 563.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.19 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked NIP | 58c | 520.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.93 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed NIP | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed NIP | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NIP | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 489$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.95 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 486$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 478.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.83 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed NIP | 63c | 414.56$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Gentle Mates | 20c | 399.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked NIP | 51c | 384.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.44 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Gentle Mates | 33c | 381.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 362.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 71c | 359.59$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Gentle Mates | 11c | 355.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 340$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 327.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NIP | 59c | 314$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 58c | 300.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed NIP | 73c | 297.46$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 291.61$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Gentle Mates | 27c | 286.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed Gentle Mates | 11c | 283.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Gentle Mates | 32c | 277.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Gentle Mates | 16c | 273.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 60c | 267.49$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed NIP | 57c | 260.42$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…7ecbbacked NIP | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 229$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 208.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed NIP | 73c | 202.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Gentle Mates | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 184$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 21c | 181.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NIP | 60c | 180.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NIP | 57c | 176.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 176.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 176$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 167.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked NIP | 54c | 155$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 154.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Gentle Mates | 67c | 149.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Gentle Mates | 39c | 149.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Gentle Mates | 38c | 148.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 389 | 41.9%163 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Gentle Mates | 29c | 143.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 143.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked NIP | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 135.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed NIP | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked NIP | 58c | 114.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked NIP | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NIP | 73c | 86.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Gentle Mates | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b0…f0d6backed NIP | 73c | 77.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked NIP | 44c | 76.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed NIP | 76c | 72.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked NIP | 42c | 64.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NIP | 61c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP | 53c | 62.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked NIP | 69c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Gentle Mates | 22c | 54.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NIP | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Gentle Mates | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed NIP | 75c | 49.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Gentle Mates | 40c | 48.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed NIP | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Gentle Mates | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…718fbacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked NIP | 73c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NIP | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed NIP | 52c | 33.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 33.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked NIP | 47c | 32.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed NIP | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked NIP | 62c | 29.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed NIP | 70c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked NIP | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.